Bobcats hope to end road woes in Philadelphia

Basketball Betting Lines

03/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Robert Frost's poem "The Road Not Taken" easily coincides with how the Charlotte Bobcats have been playing this season. The road less traveled would be the one headed towards Charlotte, and that's made all the difference for the club's playoff hopes.

The Jekyll-and-Hyde Bobcats have been a different story on the road, and will be put to the test again tonight regardless if they're playing the struggling Philadelphia 76ers at the Wachovia Center.

The Bobcats, who are seventh in the Eastern Conference standings and coming off a perfect three-game residency, have dropped four of their last five road games and own an 8-23 record as the guest.

Charlotte just pushed its home ledger to 23-8 with Tuesday's 83-78 victory over Dwyane Wade and the Miami Heat, as Raymond Felton stepped up to post 15 points and a season-best 11 assists. Stephen Jackson added 17 points and Boris Diaw contributed 11 and eight rebounds for Charlotte, which matched the franchise mark of 23 home wins in a season set last in 2008-09.

"We've become a better team in the last week because we were pretty bad about two weeks ago," Bobcats head coach Larry Brown said. "I think the key is we are defending much better."

The Bobcats have never made the playoffs in the club's history.

Philadelphia's season can be compared to a Stephen King novel under first-year head coach Eddie Jordan, whose Princeton offense has seen better days than the Zelda character from Pet Sematary. The Sixers have lost six of their last seven games and suffered a 107-96 setback at Indiana last night.

Jrue Holiday had 21 points to lead the Sixers, who ended a five-game slide with Sunday's victory at Toronto. Samuel Dalembert totaled 16 points, 11 boards and four blocks in defeat.

"They were playing a small lineup," Jordan said of the Pacers. "We were concerned about matchups, but not overly concerned. We just wanted to play with the unit that gives us the most energy. We did not do enough to win."

According to multiple sources, Jordan is expected to be fired at season's end. He was named the 22nd head coach in club history last May.

The 76ers will also play host to the Cleveland Cavaliers on the short homestand and are 10-19 in the City of Brotherly Love. Philadelphia has won six of its past 13 home games after starting the season 4-12 at the Wachovia Center.

The 2009-10 season set between the Bobcats and 76ers is tied at a game apiece, while Charlotte has won nine of the last 15 meetings. Philadelphia, however, has won eight of the 10 all-time matchups as the host in this series.

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Horse Betting

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.